Wednesday, December 13, 2017

Market update: Federal Reserve hikes short-term rates by 0.25% (13 December 2017)

  • As expected, the Fed decided to raise the fed funds target range by 25 basis points on Wednesday to 1.25%-1.50%. The central bank also released projections for future interest rates, which showed that the median FOMC member still anticipates three rate hikes in 2018 and two in 2019--unchanged from the projections released in September.
  • Charts 2 days later:



As expected, the Federal Open Market Committee raised the fed funds target range by 25 basis points to 1.25%-1.50% on Wednesday, marking the third rate hike of 2017. Chicago Fed President Evans and Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari--the FOMC's two most dovish members--dissented, saying they preferred to keep the target range unchanged.

The Fed's so-called "dot plot" revealed that the median FOMC member still anticipates three rate hikes in 2018 and two in 2019. Both figures were unchanged from the projections released in September, even though the central bank acknowledged that overall inflation and core inflation have declined this year and are running below 2.0%.

U.S. Treasuries rallied in a curve-flattening trade, underpinned by both the Fed's policy statement and a smaller-than-expected increase in the core Consumer Price Index for November (+0.1% actual vs +0.2% Briefing.com consensus). The yield on the benchmark 10-yr Treasury note tumbled five basis points to 2.35%, while the 2-yr yield slipped two basis points to 1.79%.

The flattening of the yield curve weighed heavily on the financial sector, which is second only to technology in terms of weight, representing nearly 15.0% of the broader market. The financial space dropped 1.3%, mitigating gains registered in most other areas.

In total, seven of eleven sectors finished in the green, but gains were limited; no group advanced more than 0.5%.

No comments:

Post a Comment